One of the main aims of the ITER electron cyclotron resonance heating (ECRH) system, in particular of the Upper Port Launcher, is the control of magnetohydrodynamics instabilities. This control typically requires non-inductively driven currents with a high degree of localization, i.e. with a very narrow profile. A numerical analysis of the effect of the radial diffusion of the EC driven current carrying electrons has been performed in order to estimate the effectiveness of electron cyclotron current drive (ECCD) for neoclassical tearing mode (NTM) stabilization. In particular, Fokker–Planck calculations including radial diffusion for the case of the ITER ECRH Upper Port Launcher are presented. These show a significant decrease in the local current density when radial diffusion at a rate of only 1 m2 s−1 is included and consequently a broadening of the profile with a drop in the predicted efficiency for NTM control. Furthermore, it is shown that a simple formula combining the effect of the radial diffusion and the width of the EC power deposition profile reproduces quite accurately the maximum EC driven current density, which is the more relevant number in determining the NTM suppression figure of merit, for typical ITER parameters.